我们即将开战!
China and USA exchange trade increases and we all will be sucked into an unwanted war!
中国和美国的贸易战升级,我们都将卷入一场不想要的战争!
When you think that things are getting bad, it is about to get even worse. The current country economic situation is getting settled and is finding its own natural way to finally slow-down of the crazy rates of increase in construction of new either commercial or residential real estate and selling all these new spaces. This obvious decrease and adjustment in other government policies is finally showing its real face and it is affecting certainly in some way the sales of ceramic tile in the country.
当你认为事情变得糟糕的时候,它在变得更加糟糕。中国经济现状正趋于稳定,终于找到了它自己的方式,减缓了疯狂的商业与住宅房地产建设以及新房销售的速度。这明显的下滑以及其它一些国家政策的调整最终显示了它的真面目,并且肯定在某些层面上影响到了瓷砖的销售。
To make things even worse, it doesn’t seem that the USA and China are on a way to find a solution anytime soon regarding trade, and the new proposed increased tariffs by the USA to China will inevitably affect export sales to one of the biggest if not currently the biggest ceramic export market for Chinese ceramic manufacturers that will end on a trade war not only between these two countries but also will lead either you like it or not, either you believe it or not into a domestic Chinese market ceramic war that nobody wants when the domestic market is slowing down.
火上浇油的是,看起来美国和中国不会在短时间内找到解决贸易争端的方式,而美国针对中国新提出的增税将不可避免地影响到中国对美国这个目前最大的瓷砖出口国之一的出口销售,不光两国之间的瓷砖贸易将大受影响,而且无论你是否喜欢和相信,这还会引发中国国内陶瓷市场的战争,这是在国内市场下行的情况下没人愿意看到的。
And while in the Korean peninsula finally it seems that after more than half a century they will end the war between the North and the South Koreas that at some time had the whole world on their knees, here in China we are about to start a different kind of war that may unfortunately last for a while and it may change the way ceramic business is done in this Country.
而在朝鲜半岛,半个世纪后,当朝韩之间曾经让全世界都高度关注的潜在战争将要结束的时候,在中国在这里我们将要开始一场不同类型的战争,不幸的是它可能要持续一段时间,而且可能会改变这个国家做瓷砖生意的方式。
The new tariffs on ceramic will be increased by 10% on top of the existing tariffs on glazed and unglazed ceramic products with existing tariffs of 8.5% and 10% respectively. The new tax of 18.5% and 20% will for sure slow down exports to America without any doubt. How much will it slow down? I guess we will have to wait and see.
在现有的针对釉面和非釉面陶瓷产品的8.5%和10%的税率之上,新的关税又增加了10%,所以新的18.5%和20%的关税肯定会减缓向美国的产品出口,幅度有多大?我猜我们还要等等看。
One thing though is for certain, if China and USA don’t find a solution and any common ground and the tariffs get the additional increase going from 10% to 25% making the new taxes on Chinese Ceramic products 33.5% and 35% it may simply will kill pretty much all exports of ceramic tile to USA.
还有一件事情是肯定的,如果中国和美国找不到解决方案以及任何共同立场的话,税率将会再从10%加到25%,这将会让中国陶瓷产品出口到美国的关税达到33.5%和35%,基本上杀死了所有向美国的瓷砖出口。
Two or more countries are happy to see this happen because it will leave the door open for them to immediately take advantage of this situation and increase their respective export sales in this order of importance because of their exports to USA and the styles and costs of their goods: Mexico, Spain, Italy, Turkey and Brazil. The first two will definitely take the biggest share of the new potential available pie. It is weird and it may sound absurd but this is when suddenly everyone (of a certain industry) absolutely agrees with Mr. Donald Trump event though they are in total disagreement of almost everything he does even if you are not a USA citizen.
两个或者更多的国家很乐意看到这些发生,因为这将为它们打开一扇门,它们会马上利用这个形势增加对美国的出口,依据它们本身向美国的出口以及产品风格和成本排名顺序如下:墨西哥,西班牙,意大利,土耳其以及巴西。前面两位绝对会抢到新的潜在馅饼的大部分。奇怪的是,可能听起来很荒谬,突然所有人(在特定行业)都完全赞同唐纳德·特朗普先生的这个做法,虽然不是美国公民但他们之前对特朗普先生做的每一件事情基本上都不认同的。
We also have to be realistic of another thing. I know that these trade war obeys mainly to a whole country and probably world order about China and it may have to do with trade in general and not in particular to ceramic but we have to also understand that ceramic manufacturing is increasing in the USA and protecting the domestic industry may play in as a factor of this decision. Anyway we all in China are getting worried…
我们还要对另外一件事现实点。我知道贸易战是国家性甚至世界性的,美国与中国的贸易战是全方位的,并不仅限于陶瓷行业,但是我们还需要知道美国的陶瓷生产正在增加,保护国内的行业也许会在这个决定里面发挥作用。不管怎么说在中国的我们所有人都在担心这个事情。
We better prepare for the worst and hope for the best!
我们最好做好最坏的准备,报最好的希望。
So start testing all your weapons because you may need to use absolutely all your complete artillery!
开始调试你所有的武器吧,因为你也许需要使出全部能耐了。
In the mean time we all go to Italy to the Bologna Fair to see if there any new weapons available or strategies that we may learn from or buy to fight the war that is coming!
同时,我们都会去意大利参加博洛尼亚展,看看那里是否有什么新的策略或者武器,我们也许可以从中学习或者购买,在即将到来的战争中战斗。
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